Blog Search

EFG blog 2019 2019 Annual Energy Forecasting Meeting Two pre-conference classes. Three conference days. Eighteen industry presentations. Forty-nine companies. Sixty-nine attendees. These are the...

iStock 1167706595 2019 Benchmarking Survey The end of October brings something for everyone. Fall foliage for adults, Halloween candy for children and Itron’s Annual Benchmarking Survey results for...

iStock 1162351835 scaled 2020 Forecasting Meetings – Registration Now Open! The 18th annual Energy Forecasting/EFG Meeting will be in New Orleans, Louisiana on April 22 – April 24 with optional...

Electric Vehicle Forecasting Blog 2023 Free Forecasting Brown Bags: Electric Vehicle Load Shapes Itron’s Forecasting group has conducted webinars on a variety of forecasting and load research-based...

2019 calendar 2019 Forecasting Conferences – Register Today! The 17th annual Energy Forecasting/EFG Meeting and Training will be hosted in Boston, Massachusetts on April 3-5 with optional one-day...

iStock 1159740429 2021 Annual Energy Forecasting Virtual Webinars Itron's regularly scheduled in-person Annual Energy Forecasting Meeting and Workshops in New Orleans have been rescheduled to April...

2022 Annual Energy Forecasting Virtual Webinars 2022 Annual Energy Forecasting Virtual Webinars Itron is hosting several webinars throughout the originally planned in-person event dates (April...

EV A Consumer’s Perspective – Residential Solar with an Electric Vehicle Recently, I wrote a blog on residential solar. In it, I mentioned that I needed at least a 6 kW system, but I installed a...

Winter Storm A Perfect Storm of Uncertainty Late in December 2022, much of the U.S. and Canada experienced a bomb cyclone, of which the most striking feature is a precipitous drop in temperature....

formulas A Few Thoughts on P-Values I recently read an article about P-Values that led to some discussion with my Itron colleagues, along with some thoughts on the matter. In the context of...

grandview1 A Grand View The view from the 96th floor of the John Hancock Center is amazing. From here, cars are merely dots between the straight rows of lights and people are absent. Even the...

school_book A Practitioner’s Guide to Short-term Load Forecast Modeling Over the years, numerous clients have requested a “recipe book” for building powerful short-term load forecast models. This...

rooftop solar A Simple Approach for Addressing Behind-the-Meter Solar Generation I was recently asked to account for behind-the-meter (BTM) solar generation in a set of day-ahead hourly electric...

weather sun Aggregation Bias Strikes Again! The issue of aggregation bias should not be a new concept to any of us in the energy forecasting world. In April, my colleague David Simons posted about...

ISO America’s Finest 2018 ISO Forecasting Summit San Diego’s slogan is “America’s Finest City” and being fortunate enough to call this place my home for the past seven years, I see why. It has a...

SolarEclipseDiamondRing An Unexpected Impact of the Solar Eclipse On Aug. 21, 2017, people gathered across the continent to witness the first total solar eclipse visible from the contiguous United...

Forecast_Prediction_Intervals Alternative Approaches to Constructing Forecast Prediction Intervals Itron’s Forecasting group continues their free forecasting webinar series on a variety of...

iStock 1186604384 scaled Annual Energy Forecasting Survey Results Itron’s forecasting group has compiled the results of their Annual Energy Survey to assess industry growth expectations and...

Annual Energy Survey 2022 Annual Energy Forecasting Survey Itron’s forecasting group is now in the process of conducting their Annual Energy Survey. Itron’s forecasting group is now in the process...

Annual Energy Forecasting Survey Annual Energy Forecasting Survey 2021 Itron’s forecasting group is in the process of conducting their Annual Energy Survey. The survey will close on June 1, 2021....

Survey Results 2022 Energy Forecasting Survey Results Overview Itron’s forecasting group has finished compiling the results of their Annual Energy Survey. Itron’s forecasting group has finished...

Itron 765x500 Annual Energy Survey Itron’s forecasting group recently launched their Annual Energy Survey. As we have done in previous years, Itron is collecting information to assess industry...

EnergySurveyResults Annual Energy Survey Report Results Itron’s Forecasting group has conducted webinars on a variety of forecasting and load research-based topics for many years and continues to...

iStock 1143391583 April 23 Update: Latest Trends in Estimated Load Impacts of COVID-19 Mitigation Policies This data is for: March 22, 2020 - April 18, 2020 As previously mentioned in the...

iStock 1047502598 Averaging the Weather First or Averaging the Energy Forecast There is a question that has long vexed me: If we calculate a normal series of weather variables by averaging them...

solar Behind-The-Meter Solar Generation and Real-Time Load Forecasting Recently, I was invited to speak at a California Energy Commission (CEC) sponsored workshop on Research Needs for Renewable...

iStock 1155116670 Annual Forecasting Benchmark Survey Results Our third seminar of the year reveals the results of our annual benchmarking survey. This survey has been conducted since 2012 and...

Forecasting Survey Results Itron's Annual Forecasting Benchmark Survey Results Since 2012, Itron’s forecasting group has been conducting an annual benchmarking survey that reports a broad picture...

graph1 1024x495 Are SAE Models Accurate? If you follow Itron’s forecasting work, you know that we’ve employed Statistically Adjusted End Use (SAE) models since the early 2000’s. To date, almost 60...

iStock 1211443622 Aug. 5 Update: Latest Trends in Estimated Load Impacts of COVID-19 Mitigation Policies on North American and European Electricity Consumption This data is for March through July...

iStock_000025663183Large Behind-The-Meter Solar Generation and Real-Time Load Forecasting – Part 2 In part on of this series, I presented four load forecasting challenges that have arisen as the...

Solar_panels_on_a_roof Behind-The-Meter Solar Generation and Real-Time Load Forecasting – Part 3 In my blog posting “Behind-The-Meter Solar Generation and Real-Time Load Forecasting,” I presented...

survey Brown Bag Session: The Latest Energy Trends Join us on Tuesday, Sept. 11 for our third Brown Bag seminar of the year as we reveal the results of our annual bench-marking survey. We are...

growth Calculating an Average Annual Growth Rate in MetrixND After finishing my forecast, I like to present forecast average annual growth rates. These results are calculated by converting the...

weather2 Capped vs. Uncapped Degree Days In energy modeling, we often utilize spline variables to capture the non-linear relationship between consumption and temperature. These variables typically...

iStock 1155116670 1 Annual Energy Forecasting Survey Itron’s forecasting group just launched their Annual Energy Survey. As we have done in previous years, we collect information to assess industry...

forecasters meeting Common Challenges at the Energy Forecasters Meeting Turning to her left, then right, Grace finds herself surrounded by strangers – men and women from across the United States;...

Itron 765x500 Comparison of Peak Forecasting Methods Brown Bag Seminar Recap On Tuesday, March 24, we held our first brown bag seminar of the year, “Comparison of Peak Forecasting Methods,” which...

sky clouds blue horizon Computing a Weighted Average Wind Speed and Wind Direction Across Multiple Weather Stations "Often when we are developing weather variables to support day-ahead power and...

forecasting3 Creating a Nonlinear Growth Variable I love straight lines. After all, the fastest route between any two points is a straight line. But in forecasting, going from point A to point B...

iStock 1161898151 Dates and Serial Numbers: Might As Well Leap In Excel and MetrixND, dates are actually serial numbers. This is obvious in Excel when you format a cell containing a date as a...

uncertainty Developing Net Load Uncertainty Forecasts to Support System Operations Today, the deep penetration of renewable generation resources system operators are requiring new tools to place...

forecasting1 Developing the Peak Day Dataset Using MetrixLT I think of MetrixLT as a fancy load shape manipulator and calculator. While the software was originally designed to calibrate load shapes...

iStock 1198580200 Do Solar Panels Need to be Cleaned? It seems like my solar photovoltaic (PV) panel monitoring service, Enphase, started sending more emails recently. Or maybe because I recently...

DST Daylight Saving Time: The Bane of the Load Forecaster "Sunrise and sunset times vary from summer to winter because of earth’s tilt with respect to its orbit around the sun. This difference is...

forecasting Declining Residential Sales? In the past three months, I’ve received three questions, all the same, “Why are my residential sales down?” There are several reasons why a company may see...

iStock 968868708 1 scaled Demystifying Residential Miscellaneous Usage In the residential Statistically Adjusted End-Use (SAE) model framework, the miscellaneous end-use is the single largest...

iStock 519427336 Developing a Combined Operational Load Forecast With the deep penetration of non-grid connected renewable generation and storage, electric vehicle charging, smart load control and...

Itron 765x500 Energy Forecasting Accuracy Trends Free Brown Bag Seminar Interested in learning about the latest energy forecasting accuracy trends? Itron has been collecting information on industry...

Paige Forecasting Blog Estimated Impact of COVID-19 Restrictions on California Water Consumption Previous blogs and memos looked at the estimated impact of COVID-19 restrictions on the consumption...

Electric Vehicle Data EVeryone Needs EV Data: Here's Where to Find It During our most recent Forecasting 101 workshop, one of the attendees expressed concerns about their data on electric vehicles...

iStock 1144382567 Energy Forecasting 101 Workshop New to energy forecasting? Itron can provide you with an introduction to the use of regression for forecasting applications, which is designed for...

chicago e1484002715126 Energy Forecasting Meeting - Call for Presentations Forecasters tell Itron that there is no greater value than meeting with their peers. Itron understands the importance of...

EV Forecasting Blog_F Fast EV Charging: Lessons Learned A recent trip to Palm Desert from San Diego, in my relatively new Nissan Leaf EV (her name is Wanda), gave me some new insights on EV driving...

Itron 765x500 Forecast Tests in MetrixND Out-of-sample tests are a useful tool for seeing how well a model performs with data it hasn’t seen before (i.e., data that weren’t used to estimate the...

EV_Brownbag Forecasting Expertise, Free Brown Bags and More! For more than five decades, Itron has helped energy companies understand and anticipate changes in energy demand; changes that drive...

Forecasting is Hard Forecasting is Hard – Especially for the Future Predicting behavior in the future is no easy task. Yet, we energy forecasters do this every day. The complexity of the problem...

Image C FREE Forecasting Brown Bag Webinar Itron continues to host its popular hour-long Internet seminars on a range of forecasting topics. We’re now in our 11th year!  Itron is always at the...

dew Free Forecasting Brown Bag Webinar Now in our 11th year of hosting Itron’s popular, free hour-long internet seminars on a range of forecasting topics, we take great pride in helping our...

Itron 765x500 Free Itron Forecasting Brown Bag Seminars Since 2005, Itron has conducted its popular hour-long Internet brown bag seminars on a range of forecasting topics. Itron is always at the...